Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.60) 1.16 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 19.0% 17.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
8.3%
1 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Juárez W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.2% 8.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.6% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WJuárez W
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack68%37%
Defense32%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Juárez W
HATHAT
Played75127512
Wins71%60%67%43%40%42%
Draws14%20%17%43%20%33%
Loses14%20%17%14%40%25%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLD • Juárez W: DWLWWLDWDLWD

League goals

Metric América W Juárez W
HATHAT
GF total2615419716
GF avg3.73.03.41.31.41.3
GA total88165510
GA avg1.11.61.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WJuárez W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%58%75%50%
1.592%50%58%17%
2.558%25%0%17%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WJuárez W
HATHAT
Clean sheets325426
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricAmérica WJuárez W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricAmérica WJuárez W
Wins82
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-00-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-22-33-2
Goals For11422
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WJuárez W
Form38%62%
Att65%35%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h64%36%
Goals69%31%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : América W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw6.10 @ 188Bet
Away12.20 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 2.31 (league 1.60), Juárez W = 1.16 (league 1.33)

Juárez W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.2% 8.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.6% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1