Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.60) 0.95 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 26.7% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
León W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL W 0 9.2% 8.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres UANL WLeón W
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack100%76%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres UANL W León W
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins71%80%75%33%67%50%
Draws14%20%17%33%17%25%
Loses14%0%8%33%17%25%

Form: Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWD • León W: DWLDLWDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Tigres UANL W León W
HATHAT
GF total231639121123
GF avg3.33.23.32.01.81.9
GA total52710414
GA avg0.70.40.61.70.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres UANL WLeón W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%33%83%75%
1.583%17%58%33%
2.558%8%33%8%
3.550%0%8%0%
4.525%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres UANL WLeón W
HATHAT
Clean sheets448123
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricTigres UANL WLeón W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricTigres UANL WLeón W
Wins52
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-75-00-3
Biggest losses2-30-31-0
Goals For5753
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricTigres UANL WLeón W
Form52%48%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h93%7%
Goals74%26%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ 188Bet
Draw7.70 @ Marathonbet
Away13.50 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL W = 1.45 (league 1.60), León W = 0.95 (league 1.33)

León W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL W 0 9.2% 8.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1