Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.60) 1.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 17.3% 24.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.4%
2 - 2
6.3%
3 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
2 3.2% 6.4% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack76%57%
Defense76%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%83%75%50%33%42%
Draws17%17%17%0%33%17%
Loses17%0%8%50%33%42%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWW • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Pachuca W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
GF total162440131326
GF avg2.74.03.32.22.22.2
GA total771481018
GA avg1.21.21.21.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WCruz Azul W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%83%75%
1.583%42%50%50%
2.567%0%50%25%
3.525%0%33%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-94-01-4
Biggest losses1-20-23-1
Goals For5944
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h71%29%
Goals72%28%
Total64.3%35.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pachuca W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.00 @ 188Bet
Away6.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 2.87 (league 1.60), Cruz Azul W = 1.98 (league 1.33)

Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
2 3.2% 6.4% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1