Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.60) 1.89 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 22.4% 52.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa W 0 4.6% 8.7% 8.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxa WMonterrey W
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack9%14%
Defense59%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa W Monterrey W
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins17%17%17%60%43%50%
Draws33%0%17%20%14%17%
Loses50%83%67%20%43%33%

Form: Necaxa W: WLLDLDLLWLLL • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWL

League goals

Metric Necaxa W Monterrey W
HATHAT
GF total628131023
GF avg1.00.30.72.61.41.9
GA total11152661319
GA avg1.82.52.21.21.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxa WMonterrey W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%67%67%
1.525%42%42%42%
2.58%42%42%25%
3.50%25%25%25%
4.50%8%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxa WMonterrey W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000134
Failed to score358134

Penalties

MetricNecaxa WMonterrey W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNecaxa WMonterrey W
Wins14
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-00-5
Biggest losses0-45-00-24-0
Goals For3255
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricNecaxa WMonterrey W
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total41.0%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monterrey W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home23.00 @ 10Bet
Draw10.45 @ Pinnacle
Away1.13 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.65 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa W = 1.19 (league 1.60), Monterrey W = 1.89 (league 1.33)

Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa W 0 4.6% 8.7% 8.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1