Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Corona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.60) 0.90 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 28.2% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.4% 12.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos Laguna WPuebla W
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack24%8%
Defense40%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 312 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Laguna W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%0%8%0%17%8%
Draws0%29%17%0%33%17%
Loses80%71%75%100%50%75%

Form: Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLLLDLL • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDL

League goals

Metric Santos Laguna W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total7714235
GF avg1.41.01.20.30.50.4
GA total12203223932
GA avg2.42.92.73.81.52.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos Laguna WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%42%92%
1.525%67%0%75%
2.517%42%0%42%
3.50%25%0%25%
4.50%25%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos Laguna WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score123437

Penalties

MetricSantos Laguna WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSantos Laguna WPuebla W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses56

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1
Biggest losses3-55-00-63-0
Goals For3311
Goals Against5663

Model comparison

MetricSantos Laguna WPuebla W
Form20%80%
Att75%25%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Santos Laguna W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Unibet
Draw4.60 @ Pinnacle
Away6.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna W = 1.31 (league 1.60), Puebla W = 0.90 (league 1.33)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.4% 12.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1