Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.60) 4.80 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 1.6% 63.3%
best score tips
0 - 4
14.6%
0 - 5
14.0%
0 - 3
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 0.7% 3.2% 7.6% 12.2% 14.6% 14.0%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlán WGuadalajara W
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack18%53%
Defense18%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins0%0%0%40%71%58%
Draws17%17%17%40%0%17%
Loses83%83%83%20%29%25%

Form: Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLLLLDL • Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Mazatlán W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
GF total34771118
GF avg0.50.70.61.41.61.5
GA total2417416511
GA avg4.02.83.41.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlán WGuadalajara W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%100%100%50%
1.50%83%50%25%
2.50%58%0%8%
3.50%42%0%8%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlán WGuadalajara W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000246
Failed to score325000

Penalties

MetricMazatlán WGuadalajara W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMazatlán WGuadalajara W
Wins03
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2
Biggest losses0-95-02-42-1
Goals For1122
Goals Against9542

Model comparison

MetricMazatlán WGuadalajara W
Form9%91%
Att25%75%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution5%95%
H2h20%80%
Goals8%92%
Total16.2%83.8%

Advice: Winner : Guadalajara W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home29.00 @ William Hill
Draw13.68 @ Pinnacle
Away1.07 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán W = 0.22 (league 1.60), Guadalajara W = 4.80 (league 1.33)

Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 0.7% 3.2% 7.6% 12.2% 14.6% 14.0%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 63.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1