Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.57) 0.58 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 19.8% 10.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 7.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 9.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WTijuana W
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack83%58%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W Tijuana W
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins50%29%38%33%14%23%
Draws0%43%23%33%14%23%
Loses50%29%38%33%71%54%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWD • Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W Tijuana W
HATHAT
GF total1315288412
GF avg2.22.12.21.30.60.9
GA total8122081018
GA avg1.31.71.51.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WTijuana W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%62%77%
1.554%54%23%54%
2.546%23%8%8%
3.531%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WTijuana W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score202055

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WTijuana W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WTijuana W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-32-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WTijuana W
Form41%59%
Att59%41%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h38%62%
Goals39%61%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tijuana W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 1.96 (league 1.57), Tijuana W = 0.58 (league 1.35)

Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 7.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 9.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 10.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1