Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:07 • Estadio AKRON
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.60) 2.08 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.2% 20.9% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pumas UNAM W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 2.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
1 3.8% 7.9% 8.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara WPumas UNAM W
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack56%50%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara W Pumas UNAM W
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins40%75%62%57%50%54%
Draws40%0%15%0%17%8%
Loses20%25%23%43%33%38%

Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWW • Pumas UNAM W: WWDWWLWWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Guadalajara W Pumas UNAM W
HATHAT
GF total71219131427
GF avg1.41.51.51.92.32.1
GA total651181220
GA avg1.20.60.81.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara WPumas UNAM W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%46%100%69%
1.546%23%46%46%
2.50%8%31%23%
3.50%8%23%8%
4.50%0%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara WPumas UNAM W
HATHAT
Clean sheets257314
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara WPumas UNAM W
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara WPumas UNAM W
Wins32
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-00-4
Biggest losses2-42-12-35-1
Goals For2245
Goals Against4235

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara WPumas UNAM W
Form80%20%
Att53%47%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 1.75 (league 1.60), Pumas UNAM W = 2.08 (league 1.33)

Pumas UNAM W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 2.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
1 3.8% 7.9% 8.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 44.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1