Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.60) 2.40 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.2% 16.0% 71.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.8%
0 - 1
10.7%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 4.4% 10.7% 12.8% 10.2% 6.1% 3.0%
1 3.2% 7.6% 9.1% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack52%100%
Defense62%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.221 | 4.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
Played86148614
Wins75%67%71%75%83%79%
Draws13%17%14%13%17%14%
Loses13%17%14%13%0%7%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWW • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric América W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
GF total301747321951
GF avg3.82.83.44.03.23.6
GA total8917527
GA avg1.01.51.20.60.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WTigres UANL W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%57%93%29%
1.593%43%86%14%
2.557%21%64%7%
3.529%0%50%0%
4.514%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
HATHAT
Clean sheets4265510
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Wins85
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-00-49-00-7
Biggest losses0-23-22-3
Goals For11497
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WTigres UANL W
Form38%62%
Att34%66%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Winner : Tigres UANL W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ 10Bet
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 0.71 (league 1.60), Tigres UANL W = 2.40 (league 1.33)

Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 4.4% 10.7% 12.8% 10.2% 6.1% 3.0%
1 3.2% 7.6% 9.1% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.2% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 71.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1