Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.60) 1.85 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 22.7% 49.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.6% 10.3% 9.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTijuana WMonterrey W
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%39%
Defense61%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tijuana W Monterrey W
HATHAT
Played68146814
Wins33%13%21%50%50%50%
Draws33%13%21%17%13%14%
Loses33%75%57%33%38%36%

Form: Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWL • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWL

League goals

Metric Tijuana W Monterrey W
HATHAT
GF total8715141529
GF avg1.30.91.12.31.92.1
GA total8142281321
GA avg1.31.81.61.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTijuana WMonterrey W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%71%64%
1.529%57%43%43%
2.514%14%43%21%
3.50%7%29%21%
4.50%0%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTijuana WMonterrey W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213145
Failed to score055134

Penalties

MetricTijuana WMonterrey W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTijuana WMonterrey W
Wins14
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-00-5
Biggest losses1-32-00-24-0
Goals For2355
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricTijuana WMonterrey W
Form54%46%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals30%70%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monterrey W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.81 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tijuana W = 1.30 (league 1.60), Monterrey W = 1.85 (league 1.33)

Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.6% 10.3% 9.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 49.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1