Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.60) 0.83 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.4% 21.6% 15.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pumas UNAM W 0 6.5% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.3% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPumas UNAM WAtlas W
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack48%62%
Defense38%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pumas UNAM W Atlas W
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%43%50%43%29%36%
Draws0%14%7%14%43%29%
Loses43%43%43%43%29%36%

Form: Pumas UNAM W: WWDWWLWWLLLWLL • Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Pumas UNAM W Atlas W
HATHAT
GF total13173014721
GF avg1.92.42.12.01.01.5
GA total81624141125
GA avg1.12.31.72.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePumas UNAM WAtlas W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%71%79%
1.550%50%50%57%
2.536%29%7%29%
3.521%14%7%14%
4.57%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPumas UNAM WAtlas W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricPumas UNAM WAtlas W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricPumas UNAM WAtlas W
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-21-2
Biggest losses2-35-10-34-0
Goals For4562
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricPumas UNAM WAtlas W
Form23%77%
Att43%57%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pumas UNAM W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ 188Bet
Draw4.81 @ Pinnacle
Away5.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pumas UNAM W = 1.90 (league 1.60), Atlas W = 0.83 (league 1.33)

Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pumas UNAM W 0 6.5% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.3% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.4% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1