Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.35 (league 1.60) 1.20 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 7.2% 4.9%
best score tips
4 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
6.4%
5 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Santos Laguna W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 5.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WSantos Laguna W
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack76%18%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W Santos Laguna W
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%29%0%14%
Draws0%43%21%14%29%21%
Loses43%29%36%57%71%64%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDW • Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLLLDLLWD

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W Santos Laguna W
HATHAT
GF total1715328715
GF avg2.42.12.31.11.01.1
GA total111223122032
GA avg1.61.71.61.72.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WSantos Laguna W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%71%86%
1.557%57%21%57%
2.550%29%14%36%
3.536%0%0%21%
4.50%0%0%21%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WSantos Laguna W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WSantos Laguna W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WSantos Laguna W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-1
Biggest losses0-23-13-55-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3356

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WSantos Laguna W
Form67%33%
Att81%19%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h85%15%
Goals86%14%
Total74.8%25.2%

Advice: Winner : Cruz Azul W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ 10Bet
Draw7.00 @ Unibet
Away11.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Unibet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 4.35 (league 1.60), Santos Laguna W = 1.20 (league 1.33)

Santos Laguna W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 5.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1