Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 21:45 • Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.60) 0.16 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.9% 17.3% 2.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
23.0%
3 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juárez W 0 13.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.0% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuárez WNecaxa W
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack24%0%
Defense59%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juárez W Necaxa W
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%14%14%14%
Draws43%29%36%29%0%14%
Loses14%43%29%57%86%71%

Form: Juárez W: DWLWWLDWDLWDLD • Necaxa W: WLLDLDLLWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Juárez W Necaxa W
HATHAT
GF total9716628
GF avg1.31.01.10.90.30.6
GA total5914161632
GA avg0.71.31.02.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuárez WNecaxa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%50%29%100%
1.550%21%21%43%
2.50%21%7%43%
3.50%7%0%29%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuárez WNecaxa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets437000
Failed to score2354610

Penalties

MetricJuárez WNecaxa W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJuárez WNecaxa W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-11-2
Biggest losses2-34-00-55-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3455

Model comparison

MetricJuárez WNecaxa W
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h100%0%
Goals93%7%
Total83.7%16.3%

Advice: Double chance : Juárez W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.09 @ Unibet
Draw13.00 @ Betfair
Away36.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juárez W = 1.87 (league 1.60), Necaxa W = 0.16 (league 1.33)

Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juárez W 0 13.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.0% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.9% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1