Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.60) 0.45 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 24.3% 10.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 13.2% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara WPuebla W
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack48%9%
Defense83%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%75%64%0%14%7%
Draws33%0%14%0%29%14%
Loses17%25%21%100%57%79%

Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWW • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLL

League goals

Metric Guadalajara W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total111223235
GF avg1.81.51.60.30.40.4
GA total9514261036
GA avg1.50.61.03.71.42.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%36%93%
1.550%29%0%71%
2.57%14%0%43%
3.57%7%0%21%
4.50%0%0%21%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets257011
Failed to score000549

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara WPuebla W
Wins31
Draws11
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-20-1
Biggest losses2-42-10-63-0
Goals For4211
Goals Against4263

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara WPuebla W
Form79%21%
Att85%15%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total80.8%19.2%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Bet365
Draw12.08 @ Pinnacle
Away29.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Unibet
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 1.58 (league 1.60), Puebla W = 0.45 (league 1.33)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 13.2% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 10.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1