Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Colomos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.60) 4.20 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 10.8% 52.7%
best score tips
1 - 4
5.6%
1 - 3
5.3%
2 - 4
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 2.5%
1 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.6% 4.7%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.3% 2.8%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlas WAmérica W
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack73%67%
Defense33%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas W América W
HATHAT
Played78159615
Wins43%38%40%67%67%67%
Draws14%38%27%11%17%13%
Loses43%25%33%22%17%20%

Form: Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDLW • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWL

League goals

Metric Atlas W América W
HATHAT
GF total141125311748
GF avg2.01.41.73.42.83.2
GA total14142810919
GA avg2.01.81.91.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlas WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%93%60%
1.553%60%87%47%
2.513%33%53%20%
3.513%13%27%0%
4.57%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlas WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123426
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricAtlas WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricAtlas WAmérica W
Wins48
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-23-411-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-00-23-2
Goals For64114
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricAtlas WAmérica W
Form59%41%
Att52%48%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total40.4%59.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or América W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.50 @ Betfair
Draw6.67 @ Pinnacle
Away1.24 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas W = 1.88 (league 1.60), América W = 4.20 (league 1.33)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 2.5%
1 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.6% 4.7%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.3% 2.8%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 52.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1