Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio La Corregidora
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.60) 2.99 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.8% 12.9% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
8.6%
0 - 3
8.6%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Querétaro W 0 1.9% 5.8% 8.6% 8.6% 6.4% 3.9%
1 1.8% 5.5% 8.3% 8.2% 6.2% 3.7%
2 0.9% 2.6% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.8%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQuerétaro WCruz Azul W
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack44%81%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Querétaro W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins25%14%20%63%29%47%
Draws38%14%27%0%43%20%
Loses38%71%53%38%29%33%

Form: Querétaro W: DLLLLDDLLLDWLWW • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Querétaro W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
GF total7916211536
GF avg0.91.31.12.62.12.4
GA total152742121224
GA avg1.93.92.81.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQuerétaro WCruz Azul W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%87%80%
1.540%60%60%53%
2.57%27%53%27%
3.50%27%40%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQuerétaro WCruz Azul W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score336202

Penalties

MetricQuerétaro WCruz Azul W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricQuerétaro WCruz Azul W
Wins11
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-711-00-23-1
Goals For2344
Goals Against71133

Model comparison

MetricQuerétaro WCruz Azul W
Form50%50%
Att35%65%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.10 @ 1xBet
Draw5.80 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Querétaro W = 0.96 (league 1.60), Cruz Azul W = 2.99 (league 1.33)

Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Querétaro W 0 1.9% 5.8% 8.6% 8.6% 6.4% 3.9%
1 1.8% 5.5% 8.3% 8.2% 6.2% 3.7%
2 0.9% 2.6% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.8%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.8% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 69.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1