Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Corona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.60) 0.77 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.6% 17.6% 11.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mazatlán W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos Laguna WMazatlán W
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack17%6%
Defense39%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Laguna W Mazatlán W
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%0%13%0%0%0%
Draws14%25%20%13%14%13%
Loses57%75%67%88%86%87%

Form: Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLLLDLLWDL • Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Santos Laguna W Mazatlán W
HATHAT
GF total8816347
GF avg1.11.01.10.40.60.5
GA total122436282351
GA avg1.73.02.43.53.33.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos Laguna WMazatlán W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%47%100%
1.520%60%0%80%
2.513%40%0%60%
3.50%27%0%40%
4.50%20%0%27%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos Laguna WMazatlán W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score224538

Penalties

MetricSantos Laguna WMazatlán W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSantos Laguna WMazatlán W
Wins10
Draws11
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses3-55-00-96-0
Goals For3311
Goals Against5696

Model comparison

MetricSantos Laguna WMazatlán W
Form80%20%
Att75%25%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : Santos Laguna W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.60 @ Pinnacle
Away8.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna W = 2.27 (league 1.60), Mazatlán W = 0.77 (league 1.33)

Mazatlán W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1