Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.57) 1.22 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 28.1% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.9% 7.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WGuadalajara W
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack100%56%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins63%86%73%43%75%60%
Draws25%14%20%43%0%20%
Loses13%0%7%14%25%20%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWW • Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Pachuca W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
GF total232952121224
GF avg2.94.13.51.71.51.6
GA total991810515
GA avg1.11.31.21.40.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WGuadalajara W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%73%100%53%
1.587%47%47%27%
2.567%0%7%13%
3.533%0%7%7%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WGuadalajara W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224257
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPachuca WGuadalajara W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPachuca WGuadalajara W
Wins65
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-92-00-2
Biggest losses1-2—2-42-1
Goals For5942
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WGuadalajara W
Form50%50%
Att66%34%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pachuca W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away5.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 1.10 (league 1.57), Guadalajara W = 1.22 (league 1.35)

Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.9% 7.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1