Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.57) 3.34 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.1% 8.7% 75.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 2
10.2%
0 - 4
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 1.8% 6.1% 10.2% 11.4% 9.5% 6.3%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.8% 7.5% 6.3% 4.2%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WTigres UANL W
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack74%83%
Defense70%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.419 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%38%50%78%86%81%
Draws0%38%19%11%14%13%
Loses38%25%31%11%0%6%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWW • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
GF total211940372158
GF avg2.62.42.54.13.03.6
GA total121325639
GA avg1.51.61.60.70.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WTigres UANL W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%81%94%38%
1.563%50%88%13%
2.556%25%63%6%
3.544%0%50%0%
4.50%0%31%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WTigres UANL W
HATHAT
Clean sheets2135510
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WTigres UANL W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WTigres UANL W
Wins15
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-49-00-7
Biggest losses0-23-12-3—
Goals For4497
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WTigres UANL W
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total31.6%68.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 0.66 (league 1.57), Tigres UANL W = 3.34 (league 1.35)

Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 1.8% 6.1% 10.2% 11.4% 9.5% 6.3%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.8% 7.5% 6.3% 4.2%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 75.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1