Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:00 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.71) 2.15 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 16.5% 24.2%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
2 2.5% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
5 1.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarPEC Zwolle
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack60%20%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%33%50%40%
Draws50%33%40%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%67%50%60%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWWD • PEC Zwolle: WWLLL

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
GF total7512134
GF avg3.51.72.40.31.50.8
GA total437437
GA avg2.01.01.41.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarPEC Zwolle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%60%60%
1.580%40%20%60%
2.540%20%0%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarPEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarPEC Zwolle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarPEC Zwolle
Wins22
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-21-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-1
Goals For4212
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarPEC Zwolle
Form65%35%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total69.3%30.7%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw6.04 @ Pinnacle
Away9.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 3.08 (league 1.71), PEC Zwolle = 2.15 (league 1.39)

PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
2 2.5% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
5 1.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1