Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 10:15 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.71) 5.74 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.8% 3.2% 43.8%
best score tips
1 - 5
6.1%
1 - 4
5.3%
0 - 5
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 3.1% 4.5% 5.2%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.7% 5.3% 6.1%
2 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
Played23
Form17%100%
Attack23%92%
Defense69%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.512 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 21 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DL • NEC Nijmegen: WWW

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total2138412
GF avg2.01.01.54.04.04.0
GA total224011
GA avg2.02.02.00.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%33%
1.550%100%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%67%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
Wins03
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-4
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2154
Goals Against2201

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
Form10%90%
Att20%80%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h15%85%
Goals24%76%
Total17.0%83.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : NEC Nijmegen and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 1.17 (league 1.71), NEC Nijmegen = 5.74 (league 1.39)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 3.1% 4.5% 5.2%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.7% 5.3% 6.1%
2 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.8% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 43.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1