Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 14:45 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.71) 1.43 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 19.4% 22.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.9% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
Played32
Form33%67%
Attack15%46%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played123112
Wins100%0%33%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: NAC Breda: LWL • AZ Alkmaar: WD

League goals

Metric NAC Breda AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total202426
GF avg2.00.00.74.02.03.0
GA total156123
GA avg1.02.52.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%100%100%
1.533%67%100%50%
2.50%33%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
Wins11
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-1
Biggest losses3-0
Goals For2042
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
Form43%57%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away1.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 2.34 (league 1.71), AZ Alkmaar = 1.43 (league 1.39)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.9% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1