Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 • Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.71) 1.25 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 29.9% 52.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
15.9%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Twente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 15.9% 19.9% 12.5% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.3% 11.7% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 2.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta RotterdamTwente
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack64%36%
Defense0%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Twente
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%67%60%0%33%20%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%20%
Loses50%33%40%50%67%60%

Form: Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLW • Twente: LLWLD

League goals

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Twente
HATHAT
GF total257224
GF avg1.01.71.41.00.70.8
GA total5611437
GA avg2.52.02.22.01.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta RotterdamTwente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%40%100%
1.540%40%40%40%
2.520%40%0%0%
3.50%40%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta RotterdamTwente
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricSparta RotterdamTwente
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSparta RotterdamTwente
Wins21
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-31-2
Biggest losses0-46-10-21-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against4621

Model comparison

MetricSparta RotterdamTwente
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Twente

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Dafabet
No2.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Rotterdam = 0.59 (league 1.71), Twente = 1.25 (league 1.39)

Twente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 15.9% 19.9% 12.5% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.3% 11.7% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 2.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 52.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1