Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:00 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.73) 2.19 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 20.4% 52.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 2.7% 5.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.6% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardUtrecht
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack53%65%
Defense47%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard Utrecht
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%50%60%
Draws50%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%40%33%50%40%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWL • Utrecht: WLWWL

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total5498311
GF avg2.51.31.82.71.52.2
GA total459224
GA avg2.01.71.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%80%60%
1.560%80%60%20%
2.540%0%40%0%
3.50%0%40%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardUtrecht
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardUtrecht
Wins22
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-34-00-2
Biggest losses—2-00-12-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardUtrecht
Form44%56%
Att45%55%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Utrecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 1.44 (league 1.73), Utrecht = 2.19 (league 1.37)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 2.7% 5.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.6% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 52.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1