Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:30 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.90 (league 1.71) 1.83 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.7% 16.9% 22.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.8%
3 - 1
6.6%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.6% 4.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
2 3.7% 6.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.6% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenAjax
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack100%91%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Ajax
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%100%80%100%0%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%40%
Loses33%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: WWWLW • Ajax: WDWDW

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Ajax
HATHAT
GF total107177310
GF avg3.33.53.42.31.52.0
GA total538134
GA avg1.71.51.60.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%60%
1.580%60%80%20%
2.560%20%20%0%
3.560%0%0%0%
4.540%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenAjax
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenAjax
Wins31
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-13-53-1
Biggest losses0-2
Goals For6532
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenAjax
Form52%48%
Att63%37%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.45 @ Betano
Away5.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Betano
Under 2.53.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Unibet
No2.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 2.90 (league 1.71), Ajax = 1.83 (league 1.39)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.6% 4.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
2 3.7% 6.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.6% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1