Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:45 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.71) 2.15 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 20.3% 57.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 3.6% 7.8% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.5% 5.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.2% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
Played45
Form83%100%
Attack60%73%
Defense73%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.311 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
HATHAT
Played134325
Wins100%67%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%33%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWW • Feyenoord: WWWWW

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
HATHAT
GF total4595611
GF avg4.01.72.31.73.02.2
GA total134011
GA avg1.01.01.00.00.50.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%20%
1.575%25%80%0%
2.525%0%20%0%
3.525%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
Wins15
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-00-4
Biggest losses
Goals For4224
Goals Against1201

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
Form40%60%
Att45%55%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Feyenoord

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 1.17 (league 1.71), Feyenoord = 2.15 (league 1.39)

Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 3.6% 7.8% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.5% 5.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.2% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1