Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • De Grolsch Veste
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.71) 1.86 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 22.4% 56.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 1
10.6%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 5.7% 10.7% 9.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwenteFortuna Sittard
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack43%38%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%50%33%67%33%50%
Draws50%0%17%33%0%17%
Loses50%50%50%0%67%33%

Form: Twente: LLWLDW • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLW

League goals

Metric Twente Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
GF total2796410
GF avg1.01.81.52.01.31.7
GA total448459
GA avg2.01.01.31.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwenteFortuna Sittard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%83%83%
1.550%33%50%67%
2.517%0%33%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwenteFortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricTwenteFortuna Sittard
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTwenteFortuna Sittard
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-53-21-3
Biggest losses0-21-02-0
Goals For2533
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricTwenteFortuna Sittard
Form44%56%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Twente or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.95 @ Pinnacle
Away7.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Twente = 1.00 (league 1.71), Fortuna Sittard = 1.86 (league 1.39)

Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 5.7% 10.7% 9.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 56.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1