Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 • Euroborg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.74) 0.65 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 19.6% 11.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
14.0%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGroningenFeyenoord
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack65%71%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Groningen Feyenoord
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%33%67%100%67%83%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%17%
Loses0%67%33%0%0%0%

Form: Groningen: LWLWWW • Feyenoord: WWWWWD

League goals

Metric Groningen Feyenoord
HATHAT
GF total84125914
GF avg2.71.32.01.73.02.3
GA total189044
GA avg0.32.71.50.01.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGroningenFeyenoord
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%33%
1.567%33%83%17%
2.517%33%33%17%
3.517%33%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGroningenFeyenoord
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGroningenFeyenoord
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGroningenFeyenoord
Wins15
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-12-00-4
Biggest losses—4-1——
Goals For4224
Goals Against1403

Model comparison

MetricGroningenFeyenoord
Form48%52%
Att48%52%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Feyenoord

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Groningen = 2.01 (league 1.74), Feyenoord = 0.65 (league 1.38)

Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1