Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:30 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.73) 0.15 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.0% 6.2% 0.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
18.9%
4 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 4.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.2% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.7% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjaxNAC Breda
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack42%25%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax NAC Breda
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%0%50%67%0%33%
Draws0%100%50%0%33%17%
Loses0%0%0%33%67%50%

Form: Ajax: WDWDWD • NAC Breda: LWLLDW

League goals

Metric Ajax NAC Breda
HATHAT
GF total7512426
GF avg2.31.72.01.30.71.0
GA total1563710
GA avg0.31.71.01.02.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjaxNAC Breda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%50%100%
1.583%33%50%50%
2.517%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjaxNAC Breda
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricAjaxNAC Breda
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAjaxNAC Breda
Wins11
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-1—
Biggest losses——0-13-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricAjaxNAC Breda
Form56%44%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h80%20%
Goals79%21%
Total71.7%28.5%

Advice: Winner : Ajax

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ Betano
Draw6.50 @ Pinnacle
Away11.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 3.06 (league 1.73), NAC Breda = 0.15 (league 1.37)

NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 4.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.2% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.7% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.0% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 0.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1