Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:00 • Stadion Woudestein
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.71) 2.50 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 14.4% 74.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 3
11.6%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 4.4% 11.1% 13.9% 11.6% 7.2% 3.6%
1 2.7% 6.8% 8.5% 7.1% 4.5% 2.2%
2 0.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack21%54%
Defense67%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%33%33%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%17%
Loses67%67%67%25%0%17%

Form: Excelsior: LLLWLW • PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWD

League goals

Metric Excelsior PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total23512719
GF avg0.71.00.83.03.53.2
GA total310137310
GA avg1.03.32.21.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%83%
1.517%50%83%67%
2.50%33%50%17%
3.50%33%50%0%
4.50%17%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
Wins13
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-26-13-5
Biggest losses1-25-00-2—
Goals For1265
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
Form38%63%
Att28%72%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h0%100%
Goals23%77%
Total32.2%68.0%

Advice: Winner : PSV Eindhoven

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.70 @ Betano
Draw6.14 @ Pinnacle
Away1.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Betano
Under 2.53.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior = 0.62 (league 1.71), PSV Eindhoven = 2.50 (league 1.40)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 4.4% 11.1% 13.9% 11.6% 7.2% 3.6%
1 2.7% 6.8% 8.5% 7.1% 4.5% 2.2%
2 0.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 74.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1