Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 • Stadion Galgenwaard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.71) 0.25 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.6% 12.3% 2.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
17.2%
3 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 7.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.2% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.4% 5.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUtrechtHeerenveen
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack41%41%
Defense71%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utrecht Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%33%50%25%0%17%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses33%67%50%25%100%50%

Form: Utrecht: WLWWLL • Heerenveen: DLLDLW

League goals

Metric Utrecht Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total8311718
GF avg2.71.01.81.80.51.3
GA total2357310
GA avg0.71.00.81.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUtrechtHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%100%
1.550%17%33%67%
2.533%0%17%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUtrechtHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricUtrechtHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUtrechtHeerenveen
Wins20
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-2
Biggest losses0-12-11-22-1
Goals For4231
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricUtrechtHeerenveen
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Utrecht or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Bet365
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utrecht = 2.37 (league 1.71), Heerenveen = 0.25 (league 1.39)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 7.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.2% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.4% 5.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.6% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1