Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.74) 0.94 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 20.9% 16.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.1% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaGroningen
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack29%53%
Defense47%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda Groningen
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%75%33%57%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses33%75%57%25%67%43%

Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWL • Groningen: LWLWWWL

League goals

Metric NAC Breda Groningen
HATHAT
GF total4378412
GF avg1.30.81.02.01.31.7
GA total39122810
GA avg1.02.31.70.52.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaGroningen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%100%86%57%
1.543%57%57%29%
2.50%14%14%29%
3.50%0%14%29%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaGroningen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaGroningen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaGroningen
Wins13
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-14-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against1314

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaGroningen
Form31%69%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Groningen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 2.01 (league 1.74), Groningen = 0.94 (league 1.38)

Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.1% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1