Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • MAC³PARK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.72) 2.85 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 8.1% 83.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.7%
0 - 3
17.8%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 4.6% 13.1% 18.7% 17.8% 12.7% 7.2%
1 1.0% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack24%76%
Defense35%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PEC Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%50%100%71%
Draws0%25%14%25%0%14%
Loses67%50%57%25%0%14%

Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDL • PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDW

League goals

Metric PEC Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total16712921
GF avg0.31.51.03.03.03.0
GA total47117411
GA avg1.31.81.61.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%86%
1.529%71%86%57%
2.50%14%43%14%
3.50%0%43%0%
4.50%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricPEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
Wins23
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-26-13-5
Biggest losses0-23-10-2—
Goals For1265
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
Form9%91%
Att24%76%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total21.5%78.5%

Advice: Winner : PSV Eindhoven

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.70 @ Pinnacle
Away1.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Betano
Under 2.53.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.65 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 0.23 (league 1.72), PSV Eindhoven = 2.85 (league 1.37)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 4.6% 13.1% 18.7% 17.8% 12.7% 7.2%
1 1.0% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 83.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1