Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:15 • De Grolsch Veste
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.71) 0.43 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.6% 9.0% 3.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
14.6%
4 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwenteHeracles
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack71%29%
Defense59%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente Heracles
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%50%43%33%0%14%
Draws33%0%14%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%43%67%100%86%

Form: Twente: LLWLDWW • Heracles: LLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Twente Heracles
HATHAT
GF total5712516
GF avg1.71.81.71.70.30.9
GA total641061218
GA avg2.01.01.42.03.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwenteHeracles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%100%57%86%
1.557%43%14%86%
2.529%0%14%43%
3.514%0%0%43%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwenteHeracles
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricTwenteHeracles
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTwenteHeracles
Wins10
Draws10
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-53-0
Biggest losses0-21-01-44-0
Goals For3531
Goals Against2144

Model comparison

MetricTwenteHeracles
Form77%23%
Att71%29%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total70.8%29.2%

Advice: Winner : Twente

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Betano
Draw5.75 @ Bet365
Away9.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Twente = 2.99 (league 1.71), Heracles = 0.43 (league 1.39)

Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.6% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 3.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1