Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:45 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.71) 1.00 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 18.6% 15.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Telstar
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 3.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack53%53%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Telstar
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%25%33%29%
Draws67%25%43%25%0%14%
Loses0%25%14%50%67%57%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDL • Telstar: LLDWLLW

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Telstar
HATHAT
GF total9615729
GF avg3.01.52.11.80.71.3
GA total65119413
GA avg2.01.31.62.31.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarTelstar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%57%86%
1.571%57%43%86%
2.529%14%14%14%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Wins21
Draws21
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-20-2
Biggest losses2-11-32-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Betano
Draw5.93 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.24 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 2.29 (league 1.71), Telstar = 1.00 (league 1.39)

Telstar
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 3.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1