Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:00 • De Adelaarshorst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.71) 3.30 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 15.8% 46.8%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.9%
2 - 2
5.3%
1 - 3
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
GO Ahead Eagles 0 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 1.8% 1.2%
1 0.9% 2.8% 4.6% 5.1% 4.2% 2.8%
2 1.0% 3.2% 5.3% 5.9% 4.8% 3.2%
3 0.7% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 1.4%
5 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGO Ahead EaglesNEC Nijmegen
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%67%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GO Ahead Eagles NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%75%33%57%
Draws33%50%43%0%0%0%
Loses33%25%29%25%67%43%

Form: GO Ahead Eagles: DDLDWWL • NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLW

League goals

Metric GO Ahead Eagles NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total581313821
GF avg1.72.01.93.32.73.0
GA total58136713
GA avg1.72.01.91.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGO Ahead EaglesNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%100%71%
1.586%71%100%43%
2.514%29%57%43%
3.50%14%29%14%
4.50%0%14%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGO Ahead EaglesNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricGO Ahead EaglesNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGO Ahead EaglesNEC Nijmegen
Wins23
Draws20
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-34-23-53-2
Goals For3254
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricGO Ahead EaglesNEC Nijmegen
Form54%46%
Att43%57%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : GO Ahead Eagles or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ 188Bet
No3.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): GO Ahead Eagles = 2.29 (league 1.71), NEC Nijmegen = 3.30 (league 1.39)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
GO Ahead Eagles 0 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 1.8% 1.2%
1 0.9% 2.8% 4.6% 5.1% 4.2% 2.8%
2 1.0% 3.2% 5.3% 5.9% 4.8% 3.2%
3 0.7% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 1.4%
5 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 46.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1