Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 19:00 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.71) 1.40 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 25.4% 37.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 6.3% 8.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaPEC Zwolle
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack38%25%
Defense50%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%25%25%25%
Draws0%25%13%0%25%13%
Loses50%75%63%75%50%63%

Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWLL • PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric NAC Breda PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
GF total538167
GF avg1.30.81.00.31.50.9
GA total59148715
GA avg1.32.31.82.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaPEC Zwolle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%63%75%
1.538%63%25%75%
2.50%13%0%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaPEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score123303

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaPEC Zwolle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaPEC Zwolle
Wins12
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-43-1
Goals For2212
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaPEC Zwolle
Form80%20%
Att60%40%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : NAC Breda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away4.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 1.37 (league 1.71), PEC Zwolle = 1.40 (league 1.39)

PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 6.3% 8.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 37.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1