Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:30 • Euroborg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.71) 0.47 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.6% 11.5% 4.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Rotterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.4% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGroningenSparta Rotterdam
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack50%28%
Defense89%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Groningen Sparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%25%50%38%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%13%
Loses25%50%38%50%50%50%

Form: Groningen: LWLWWWLW • Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Groningen Sparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
GF total86146511
GF avg2.01.51.81.51.31.4
GA total291113922
GA avg0.52.31.43.32.32.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGroningenSparta Rotterdam
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%75%75%
1.563%25%38%63%
2.513%25%25%63%
3.513%25%0%38%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGroningenSparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricGroningenSparta Rotterdam
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGroningenSparta Rotterdam
Wins32
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-10-3
Biggest losses0-14-11-56-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against1456

Model comparison

MetricGroningenSparta Rotterdam
Form75%25%
Att64%36%
Def88%12%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h20%80%
Goals23%77%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Winner : Groningen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Groningen = 2.70 (league 1.71), Sparta Rotterdam = 0.47 (league 1.39)

Sparta Rotterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.4% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.6% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1