Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:30 • Stadion Woudestein
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.72) 1.43 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 26.9% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 9.5% 13.5% 9.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack28%39%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%75%25%50%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%13%
Loses75%75%75%0%75%38%

Form: Excelsior: LLLWLWLL • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Excelsior Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
GF total3477613
GF avg0.81.00.91.81.51.6
GA total512174812
GA avg1.33.02.11.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%88%75%
1.513%63%50%63%
2.50%25%25%13%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
Wins12
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-21-3
Biggest losses1-25-0—2-0
Goals For1233
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortuna Sittard

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Dafabet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior = 0.93 (league 1.72), Fortuna Sittard = 1.43 (league 1.37)

Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 9.5% 13.5% 9.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 48.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1