Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:15 • BUKO Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.71) 1.65 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 22.4% 35.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Telstar 0 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.7% 9.5% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTelstarHeerenveen
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack42%47%
Defense53%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Telstar Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%25%25%40%0%25%
Draws25%0%13%40%33%38%
Loses50%75%63%20%67%38%

Form: Telstar: LLDWLLWL • Heerenveen: DLLDLWDW

League goals

Metric Telstar Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total73109312
GF avg1.80.81.31.81.01.5
GA total96158513
GA avg2.31.51.91.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTelstarHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%88%100%
1.538%88%50%63%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTelstarHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricTelstarHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTelstarHeerenveen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-22-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricTelstarHeerenveen
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.74 @ Marathonbet
Away2.36 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Telstar = 1.79 (league 1.71), Heerenveen = 1.65 (league 1.39)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Telstar 0 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.7% 9.5% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 35.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1