Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:30 • Goffertstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.71) 1.94 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 21.1% 38.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Twente
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 2.1% 4.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.5% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenTwente
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack63%75%
Defense19%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen Twente
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%25%13%25%0%13%
Loses25%50%38%25%50%38%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWD • Twente: LLWLDWWW

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen Twente
HATHAT
GF total139227714
GF avg3.32.32.81.81.81.8
GA total68147411
GA avg1.52.01.81.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenTwente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%63%100%
1.588%38%63%38%
2.550%38%25%0%
3.525%13%13%0%
4.513%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenTwente
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenTwente
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenTwente
Wins31
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-21-5
Biggest losses3-53-20-21-0
Goals For5435
Goals Against5321

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenTwente
Form29%71%
Att45%55%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Twente and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 1.93 (league 1.71), Twente = 1.94 (league 1.39)

Twente
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 2.1% 4.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.5% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 38.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1