Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Abe Lenstra Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.74) 0.93 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 17.5% 12.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 3.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeerenveenNAC Breda
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack53%42%
Defense58%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heerenveen NAC Breda
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%25%33%40%0%22%
Draws40%25%33%20%25%22%
Loses20%50%33%40%75%56%

Form: Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWW • NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Heerenveen NAC Breda
HATHAT
GF total96157310
GF avg1.81.51.71.40.81.1
GA total87157916
GA avg1.61.81.71.42.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeerenveenNAC Breda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%67%100%
1.556%67%44%67%
2.522%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeerenveenNAC Breda
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricHeerenveenNAC Breda
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHeerenveenNAC Breda
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-32-1—
Biggest losses1-22-11-23-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricHeerenveenNAC Breda
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Heerenveen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Superbet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Unibet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heerenveen = 2.38 (league 1.74), NAC Breda = 0.93 (league 1.38)

NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 3.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1