Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • MAC³PARK Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.71) 3.30 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.8% 6.6% 79.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.5%
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 4
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 2.6% 8.6% 14.1% 15.5% 12.8% 8.5%
1 0.9% 3.0% 5.0% 5.5% 4.5% 3.0%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack26%58%
Defense37%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PEC Zwolle NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%60%25%44%
Draws0%40%22%20%25%22%
Loses75%40%56%20%50%33%

Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLD • NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDD

League goals

Metric PEC Zwolle NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total18916925
GF avg0.31.61.03.22.32.8
GA total89179817
GA avg2.01.81.91.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%100%78%
1.533%78%89%44%
2.50%22%56%44%
3.50%11%22%11%
4.50%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score303000

Penalties

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Wins23
Draws10
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-43-13-53-2
Goals For1254
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Form29%71%
Att31%69%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h7%93%
Goals35%65%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : NEC Nijmegen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.82 @ 1xBet
Away2.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Betfair
No2.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 0.35 (league 1.71), NEC Nijmegen = 3.30 (league 1.39)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 2.6% 8.6% 14.1% 15.5% 12.8% 8.5%
1 0.9% 3.0% 5.0% 5.5% 4.5% 3.0%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.8% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 79.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1