Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • MAC³PARK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.72) 3.36 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.7% 6.3% 79.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.5%
0 - 2
13.8%
0 - 4
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 2.4% 8.2% 13.8% 15.5% 13.0% 8.8%
1 0.9% 2.9% 4.8% 5.4% 4.5% 3.1%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack24%52%
Defense43%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PEC Zwolle NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%60%25%44%
Draws0%40%22%20%25%22%
Loses75%40%56%20%50%33%

Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLD • NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDD

League goals

Metric PEC Zwolle NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total18916925
GF avg0.31.61.03.22.32.8
GA total89179817
GA avg2.01.81.91.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%100%78%
1.533%78%89%44%
2.50%22%56%44%
3.50%11%22%11%
4.50%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score303000

Penalties

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Wins23
Draws10
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-43-13-53-2
Goals For1254
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Form29%71%
Att31%69%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h7%93%
Goals35%65%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : NEC Nijmegen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.52 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 0.35 (league 1.72), NEC Nijmegen = 3.36 (league 1.37)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 2.4% 8.2% 13.8% 15.5% 13.0% 8.8%
1 0.9% 2.9% 4.8% 5.4% 4.5% 3.1%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 79.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1