Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:45 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.71) 1.69 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 19.1% 25.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarUtrecht
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack59%41%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Utrecht
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%60%25%44%
Draws50%20%33%20%0%11%
Loses0%20%11%20%75%44%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWW • Utrecht: WLWWLLDLW

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total1181913518
GF avg2.81.62.12.61.32.0
GA total75125611
GA avg1.81.01.31.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%78%78%
1.578%44%67%33%
2.522%11%33%11%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarUtrecht
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarUtrecht
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses—2-10-13-2
Goals For4242
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarUtrecht
Form67%33%
Att59%41%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away6.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 2.45 (league 1.71), Utrecht = 1.69 (league 1.38)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 25.5%

vtt 7 , vtd1