Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 19:00 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.73) 1.40 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 15.7% 15.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 0
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.9% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack62%24%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%100%80%60%20%40%
Draws20%0%10%20%0%10%
Loses20%0%10%20%80%50%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWW • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
GF total1416308614
GF avg2.83.23.01.61.21.4
GA total86146915
GA avg1.61.21.41.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%80%80%
1.590%50%40%60%
2.550%10%20%10%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Clean sheets022202
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-43-21-3
Biggest losses0-2—1-22-0
Goals For6533
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
Form68%32%
Att72%28%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : PSV Eindhoven or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ Betano
Draw10.95 @ Pinnacle
Away20.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 2.91 (league 1.73), Fortuna Sittard = 1.40 (league 1.37)

Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.9% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1