Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 • Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.73) 3.03 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.8% 11.7% 72.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.0%
0 - 2
9.9%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 2.2% 6.5% 9.9% 10.0% 7.6% 4.6%
1 1.7% 5.3% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 3.7%
2 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack39%61%
Defense39%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%60%50%60%60%60%
Draws20%0%10%40%20%30%
Loses40%40%40%0%20%10%

Form: Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWW • AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWW

League goals

Metric Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total771415823
GF avg1.41.41.43.01.62.3
GA total139228513
GA avg2.61.82.21.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%100%80%
1.540%50%80%40%
2.520%50%30%10%
3.50%30%20%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets134022
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricSparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-56-1—2-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against5632

Model comparison

MetricSparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
Form41%59%
Att39%61%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away1.75 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Rotterdam = 0.81 (league 1.73), AZ Alkmaar = 3.03 (league 1.37)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 2.2% 6.5% 9.9% 10.0% 7.6% 4.6%
1 1.7% 5.3% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 3.7%
2 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 72.8%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1