Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:45 • Stadion Galgenwaard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.00 (league 1.73) 1.60 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 15.8% 17.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 1
7.2%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack44%56%
Defense39%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utrecht NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%60%20%40%
Draws20%0%10%20%40%30%
Loses20%80%50%20%40%30%

Form: Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWL • NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDD

League goals

Metric Utrecht NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total13619161127
GF avg2.61.21.93.22.22.7
GA total5101591019
GA avg1.02.01.51.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%80%
1.560%40%90%50%
2.530%20%50%40%
3.520%10%20%10%
4.50%0%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
Wins23
Draws10
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-14-13-53-2
Goals For4254
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Utrecht or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away3.27 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utrecht = 3.00 (league 1.73), NEC Nijmegen = 1.60 (league 1.37)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 28 , Vtod1