Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 19:00 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.71) 1.22 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 25.5% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 6.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.9% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardHeerenveen
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack43%79%
Defense21%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%33%20%27%
Draws20%0%9%50%40%45%
Loses20%83%55%17%40%27%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLL • Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total881612719
GF avg1.61.31.52.01.41.7
GA total6142011819
GA avg1.22.31.81.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%91%100%
1.545%64%55%64%
2.518%18%27%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardHeerenveen
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-22-3
Biggest losses1-25-21-22-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardHeerenveen
Form25%75%
Att35%65%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Heerenveen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 1.50 (league 1.71), Heerenveen = 1.22 (league 1.38)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 6.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.9% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 30.7%

vtt 14 , vtd1