Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:15 • Stadion Galgenwaard
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.64 (league 1.74) 1.29 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 17.0% 16.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.2% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUtrechtAjax
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utrecht Ajax
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins67%20%45%67%20%45%
Draws17%0%9%17%80%45%
Loses17%80%45%17%0%9%

Form: Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLW • Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWD

League goals

Metric Utrecht Ajax
HATHAT
GF total14620101121
GF avg2.31.21.81.72.21.9
GA total5101551015
GA avg0.82.01.40.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUtrechtAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%91%82%
1.555%36%73%45%
2.527%18%27%9%
3.518%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUtrechtAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricUtrechtAjax
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUtrechtAjax
Wins21
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-14-10-2—
Goals For4233
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricUtrechtAjax
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Utrecht or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.30 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utrecht = 2.64 (league 1.74), Ajax = 1.29 (league 1.37)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.2% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 16.4%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1