Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Goffertstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.69 (league 1.73) 2.10 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 13.7% 17.0%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.6%
3 - 1
5.4%
4 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
2 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.4% 5.0% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.7% 3.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenGroningen
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack89%56%
Defense11%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen Groningen
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%50%60%55%
Draws20%33%27%17%0%9%
Loses20%50%36%33%40%36%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDL • Groningen: LWLWWWLWLWD

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen Groningen
HATHAT
GF total1611279817
GF avg3.21.82.51.51.61.5
GA total9112051015
GA avg1.81.81.80.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenGroningen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%82%73%
1.582%45%55%27%
2.545%36%9%18%
3.518%9%9%18%
4.59%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenGroningen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenGroningen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenGroningen
Wins33
Draws30
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-01-2
Biggest losses3-53-20-24-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenGroningen
Form46%54%
Att62%38%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : NEC Nijmegen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 3.69 (league 1.73), Groningen = 2.10 (league 1.37)

Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
2 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.4% 5.0% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.7% 3.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1